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US Mortgage Purchase Applications Plunge

US mortgage purchase applications are down 60% from pandemic peak, back to 1995 levels, with rates above 7%.

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Key points

  • Mortgage purchase applications are down 60% from their pandemic peak, per Redfin.
  • Demand is now back near 1995 levels, lower than at any point during the 2008–2012 housing crash.
  • Mortgage rates sit above 7%, pending home sales hover near record lows, and a record 14% of September deals were canceled.

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Original post

unusual_whales @unusual_whales 5.4M followers

America appears in a homebuyer recession. Mortgage purchase applications are down 60% from their pandemic peak, per Redfin. Demand is now back near 1995 levels, lower than at any point during the 2008–2012 housing crash. It comes as mortgage rates sit above 7%, pending home sales hover near record lows, and a record 14% of September deals were canceled.
2,191likes 262reposts 141replies 271.8Kviews

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Reaction on X: Most replies agree with the bleak read, framing it as a recession and noting that at 7% rates the same $400k loan costs about $2,660 a month versus $1,690 at 3%. Others point to still-high asking prices, with one citing a rundown 2-bedroom listed at $240k, and one describing a staring contest between buyers and sellers.

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From @MannyM_2003, @FinanceLancelot, @ThePoorFearBill and others. Spam removed, with English and Chinese translations.

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