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US September PCE Inflation Rises to 3.6%
US September PCE rose to 3.6% and core to 3.1%, confirming CPI, PPI and PCE inflation are all rising again.
Key points
- US September headline PCE inflation rose to 3.6% year over year, matching expectations and up from 3.4% prior, with a 0.5% month-over-month increase.
- Core PCE inflation rose to 3.1% year over year, matching expectations and up from 3.0% prior, with a +0.3% month-over-month increase.
- Core PCE was 0.32% in September; the 6-month annualized rate was 2.9% and the 3-month annualized rate was 2.9%, according to Nick Timiraos.
- The personal saving rate was 3.8% versus 4.0% prior, and services ex-energy/housing rose 0.4% month over month.
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PCE inflation rose 0.5% MoM, the largest increase since March 2026.
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US PCE rose 0.5% MoM and 3.6% YoY; core PCE rose 0.3% MoM and 3.1% YoY, all matching expectations.
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US September headline PCE inflation rose to 3.6% YoY, matching expectations, with core PCE at 3.1%.
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Nick Timiraos notes September core PCE was 0.32% MoM, 3.1% YoY and 2.9% at a three-month annualized rate.
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