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Nasdaq Enters Technical Correction

Kobeissi notes the Nasdaq fell nearly 5% as market-implied odds of a Democratic midterm sweep rose from 65% to 72%.

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Key points

  • The Nasdaq 100 is down nearly -5% on the day as selling pressure spreads, per @KobeissiLetter.
  • The market-implied odds of a Democrat "sweep" in next week's Midterms rose from 65% to 72% today, a record high, a +7 percentage point move in 2 days.
  • US Treasury Yields are barely seeing any relief even as technology stocks drop sharply, leaving high rates, a falling stock market, $100+ oil prices, and rising CPI, PPI, and PCE inflation.
  • The Trump Administration has not yet commented on the current situation in the market.

Key points and the reaction summary are written by AI from the posts on this page. Check the original post. How we use AI

Original post

The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter 2.7M followers

The timing of today's market crash is noteworthy. As selling pressure spreads, the Nasdaq 100 is now down nearly -5% on the day. Meanwhile, the market-implied odds of a Democrat "sweep" in the Midterms next week has surged from 65% to 72% today, a record high. That's +7 percentage points in 2 days amid this market downturn. We have yet to receive a comment from the Trump Administration regarding the current situation in the market. However, what is clear is that the timing of today's market crash will be consequential. And, even as technology stocks drop sharply, US Treasury Yields are barely seeing any relief. This leaves us with high rates, a falling stock market, $100+ oil prices, and rising CPI, PPI, and PCE inflation. Next week is going to be interesting, to say the least.
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What others are saying

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  1. Nasdaq 100 entered correction, down 10% from its Oct 6 high, while Intel fell 31%, its biggest drop since its 1971 IPO.

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  2. unusual_whales @unusual_whales 1,028

    Nasdaq 100 entered correction after shedding ~$5T in three weeks; Intel plunged 31%, losing ~$400B in value.

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