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金矿股极度超卖
Kobeissi称GDX中约92%成分股跌破50日均线,为7月底以来最高,历史上类似情形后一月曾涨超15%。
要点
- 黄金矿业ETF $GDX 中约92%的股票目前低于50日均线,为7月底以来最高比例。
- 该比例在短短21个交易日内上升了80个百分点。
- $GDX 中90%的股票低于200日均线,为3个月来最高比例。
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原推
Gold stocks have rarely been this oversold.
~92% of stocks in the gold miners ETF, $GDX, are now trading below their 50-day moving average, the highest proportion since late July.
This figure has risen +80 percentage points in just 21 sessions.
Furthermore, 90% of stocks in $GDX are trading below their 200-day moving average, the highest proportion in 3 months.
Similar setups occurred in March 2024 and December 2024.
In the following month, $GDX rallied +21.5% and +15.4%, respectively.
History suggests the selloff in gold miners is nearing exhaustion.
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