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Gold Miners Deeply Oversold

Kobeissi says ~92% of GDX gold miners are below their 50-day average, the most since late July, with similar setups followed by 15-21% rallies.

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Key points

  • ~92% of stocks in the gold miners ETF, $GDX, are now trading below their 50-day moving average, the highest proportion since late July.
  • This figure has risen +80 percentage points in just 21 sessions.
  • 90% of stocks in $GDX are trading below their 200-day moving average, the highest proportion in 3 months.
  • Similar setups occurred in March 2024 and December 2024; in the following month, $GDX rallied +21.5% and +15.4%, respectively.

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Original post

The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter 2.7M followers

Gold stocks have rarely been this oversold. ~92% of stocks in the gold miners ETF, $GDX, are now trading below their 50-day moving average, the highest proportion since late July. This figure has risen +80 percentage points in just 21 sessions. Furthermore, 90% of stocks in $GDX are trading below their 200-day moving average, the highest proportion in 3 months. Similar setups occurred in March 2024 and December 2024. In the following month, $GDX rallied +21.5% and +15.4%, respectively. History suggests the selloff in gold miners is nearing exhaustion.
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From @Kev_Capital_TA and others. Spam removed, with English and Chinese translations.

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